There’s plenty of free sports betting picks floating out there on the internet but just because it’s free doesn’t mean it’s right. Free sports betting picks have to be accurate or it won’t make any difference whether you paid for it or not.

Here’s one for you: bet the Saints to win the Super Bowl.

It might sound like a bit of long shot but there is plenty of good reasoning for it.

We all know the Saints have the offense to do it. Even with a marginal running game, they are capable of putting the game in quarterback Drew Brees’ hands and having him win it. With Marques Colston, Jeremy Shockey, Lance Moore and Reggie Bush, there is no shortage of weapons.

But it’s the changes on defense that make the sense a smart pick. Their secondary was deplorable last year but they added Darren Sharper and Jabari Greer in free agency, they spent their first-round pick on cornerback Malcom Jenkins, and they are banking on the growth of young starting prospects like Roman Harper and Tracy Porter. That’s a big change.

On top of that, if Charles Grant and Will Smith – who may be suspended for four games because of the Starcaps issue – were banged up all season last year. They only combined for six sacks. But if they are healthy, combined with impressive rookie Sedrick Ellis, the Saints will have a vastly improved defense.

Don’t be surprised if this team is representing the NFC in the Super Bowl. That’s my free sports betting pick for you.